The Enduring Lesson Of The 2010 Elections by Thomas Del Beccaro
Reprinted from Human Events 1/9/11
Election cycles come and go. In recent years, control of the House of Representatives has been changing rather faster than ever before – three turnovers in the last 16 years alone after four decades of one-party rule.
What drives changes in voter sentiment is often debated but, quite frankly, is not really a historical mystery. Two basic factors play the greatest role in the absence of national security considerations: (1) whether government is perceived as the problem or the solution to the problem in voters’ minds; and, closely tied to that, (2) which party is perceived as the party of prosperity. In 2010, both those factors ran in the Republicans' favor. Keeping those factors in the GOP's favor is no less than essential going forward.
Throughout all history, people tend to accept more government when the private sector or security is the perceived problem. They tend to move away from government when government is the perceived problem.