Most elections are about the economy. By all accounts the economy is doing quite well, including historically low unemployment. Labor shortages abound and wages are rising.
A rising economy usually indicates that people are satisfied with the direction of the Country. In the Divided Era, however, that may not be so any longer.
According to Gallup: Satisfaction With U.S. Direction Reaches 12-Year High
- Satisfaction rate of 38% is highest since September 2005
- Second month in a row above 35%, also for the first time since 2005
- Satisfaction rises among Republicans and independents, not among Democrats
Also according to Gallup, the recent increase “is entirely owing to increased satisfaction among Republicans and independents, pushing Republicans’ satisfaction to 68% and independents’ to 36%. Meanwhile, Democrats’ satisfaction is unchanged at 13%.”
For Democrats, it is clearly not about the economy. It is about ideology and power and dissatisfaction with Trump. That won’t change much between now and November.
The questions for this Fall is whether Democrats are more motivated than Republicans and whether Independents will vote along with their rising satisfaction.
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